The Carolina Hurricanes missed the playoffs for a fifth consecutive season,
prompting an organizational re-shuffling that resulted in Ron Francis being
named General Manager.
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. Off-Season Game Plan looks at Francis challenge: finding a way to take this
top-heavy team and make it a playoff contender. The second order of business for
Francis figures to be finding a replacement for head coach Kirk Muller, who was
fired in Francis first order of business as the new GM. All of the Canes
problems cant be laid at Mullers doorstep, but its low risk to try a new
approach when the past two seasons have yielded a .481 points percentage (125
points in 130 games). Francis former teammates Kevin Dineen and Ulf Samuelsson
have both been rumoured as possible fits for the job. In addition to someone new
calling the shots behind the bench, Francis has some complicated personnel
decisions. The Staal brothers, Alexander Semin and Cam Ward each come with a cap
hit of at least $6-million and that kind of ticket can always get moved out if
it doesnt come with results. Its one thing to pay your marquee No. 1 centre more
than $8-million if youre making the playoffs regularly, but when youve been on
the outside for five straight seasons, its not inconceivable to consider trying
something different. Same goes for paying a goaltender more than $6-million per
season; only it gets more challenging to find takers when that goalie has
struggled to stay healthy and played poorly over the past couple years. At one
time -- much closer to 2006 -- it would have seemed sacreligious to consider
trading Eric Staal or Cam Ward, but those are some possibilities that Francis
may have to consider as he takes over the reigns of a budget-conscious team. To
be fair, its not impossible for the Hurricanes to turn what they have into a
competitive team. In addition to their high-priced forwards, the next generation
is represented by Jeff Skinner and Elias Lindholm and their defence at least has
a legitimate first pairing in Andrej Sekera and Justin Faulk. Its going further
down the depth chart that causes more concern, as the Canes have been attempting
to get by with bargains in those final roster spots. "I dont know if youre ever
ready for this job," Francis told the Raleigh News & Observer after taking
over from Jim Rutherford. "One thing Ive learned is there are no easy decisions.
There are a lot of tough decisions." He may not be ready for it, but it sounds
like Francis has some idea what hes getting himself into. The TSN.ca Rating is
an efficiency rating based on per-game statistics including goals and assists --
weighted for strength (ie. power play, even, shorthanded) -- Corsi, adjusted for
zone starts, quality of competition and quality of teammates, hits, blocked
shots, penalty differential and faceoffs. Generally, a replacement-level player
is around a 60, a top six forward and top four defenceman will be around 70,
stars will be over 80 and MVP candidates could go over 90. Sidney Crosby
finished at the top of the 2013-2014 regular season ratings at 87.12. Salary cap
information all comes from the indispensable www.capgeek.com. CF% = Corsi
percentage (ie. percentage of 5-on-5 shot attempts), via www.extraskater.com.
GM/COACHRon Francis/Vacant Returning Forwards Player Rating GP G A PTS CF% Cap
Hit Jeff Skinner 74.48 71 33 21 54 51.2% $5.725M Eric Staal 73.38 79 21 40 61
52.4% $8.25M Alexander Semin 73.10 65 22 20 42 55.2% $7.0M Jordan Staal 68.53 82
15 25 40 54.0% $6.0M Patrick Dwyer 62.71 75 8 14 22 48.4% $900K Riley Nash 61.45
73 10 14 24 50.6% $575K Elias Lindholm 61.08 58 9 12 21 49.6% $925K Free Agent
Forwards Player Rating GP G A PTS CF% Class 13-14 Cap Hit Nathan Gerbe 66.34 81
16 15 31 51.8% RFA $550K Jiri Tlusty 66.09 68 16 14 30 51.2% RFA $1.6M
Andrei Loktionov 60.82 68 7 15 22 55.1% RFA $725K Manny Malhotra 60.35 69 7 6 13
41.4% UFA $600K Drayson Bowman 58.61 70 4 8 12 45.5% RFA $600K Radek Dvorak
57.67 60 4 5 9 42.7% UFA $600K 21-year-old Jeff Skinner has had some ups and
downs already in his career, but after scoring a career-high 33 goals last
season, he now has 97 goals in 259 games through his first four years. Since
2000, the players to have more than 97 goals through their age 21 season are
Steven Stamkos, Sidney Crosby, Ilya Kovalchuk and Alex Ovechkin. He could be a
premier offensive threat, though if thats the case, it probably makes sense to
give him more ice time -- he played more, per game, in each of the previous two
seasons. For the first time since his rookie season, Eric Staal finished a full
season with fewer than 70 points and, coming off a knee injury suffered at the
World Championships, it contrasted with a percentage-driven 2012-2013 season
during which he put up 53 points in 48 games. There were rumblings during the
year that Staal (or Skinner) might be available and that isnt necessarily a
crazy idea. The cap hit for the two seasons remaining on his deal is
$8.25-million, but the actual cost is $18.75-million and while turning 30 isnt a
hockey death sentence, Staal will turn 30 in October and hes put on a lot of
miles -- since coming into the league, in 2003-2004, he ranks fourth in games
played with 769. This doesnt mean shipping Staal out at the first possible
moment, and he does have a no-trade clause, but if a contender will pay a
premium of young players, prospects and picks to land a big scoring centre like
Staal, then the Hurricanes may want to at least consider that option now while
he has value. While his scoring numbers declined last season, Alexander Semin
was a victim of percentage regression more than anything. He had more than three
shots on goal per game for the fifth time in the past six seasons and, over the
past four seasons, has been one of the best at generating shot attempts while
hes on the ice. Its entirely fair to wonder about the value of paying a
$7-million cap hit for the next four seasons, until hes 34 but, at the moment,
Semin is still a dangerous offensive winger. When the Hurricanes brought
Jordan Staal in from Pittsburgh, the idea was that Staal would be able to play
in a more offensive role, and it hasnt really worked out that way. He gets
significant ice time against quality opponents, but Staal hasnt been blessed
with great finishers on his lines in Carolina (Nathan Gerbe and Patrick Dwyer
were his most common linemates last season) so, even with strong possession
stats, his scoring rates have actually decreased. Hes also signed forever,
through 2023, so theres room to improve the situation, by finding Jordan Staal
linemates that may be more suited to producing offensively. Patrick Dwyer has
played more than 14 minutes per game for each of the past three seasons, yet has
been among the lowest-scoring forwards in the league (among those playing at
least 2000 5-on-5 minutes). His possession numbers have fluctuated from year to
year too, based on situations, so there is a fit in the lineup for Dwyer, but it
only makes sense in a checking role. Riley Nash is ostensibly a checking centre,
though one who started 59.3% of his shifts in the offensive zone and didnt face
tough competition. Its not on Nash to determine usage, thats on the coach, but
if the Hurricanes intend to free up others for offensive opportunities, then
Nash should be taking on more defensive responsibility. The fifth pick in last
summers draft, Elias Lindholm had a solid, if unspectacular rookie season. His
role increased as the season progressed and scored 14 points in 37 games after a
stint playing for Sweden at the World Juniors. Expect Lindholm to move into a
more prominent role next season. Bought out by the Buffalo Sabres, Nathan Gerbe
came in at a bargain cost and tied career highs with 16 goals and 31 points,
with impressive underlying numbers to support that production. In fact, with any
kind of luck (ie. a respectable on-ice shooting percentage), Gerbe could have
put up better scoring stats. It turned out that Jiri Tlustys 23-goal-in-48-games
outburst from 2012-2013 was fluky (who knew?), and his scoring stats came back
to earth. With decent possession numbers, its still reasonable to think that
Tlusty can be a useful complementary scorer. After coming over from New Jersey
in the Tuomo Ruutu trade, Andrei Loktionov capably filled a complementary role.
His usage has always been sheltered, but he puts up good possession numbers and
should be hitting a point at which he can be given more responsibility, fitting
in a top-nine role. Drayson Bowman played a career-high 70 games for the
Hurricanes last season, but hes managed 33 points in 176 career games. With
uneven results to this point in his career, Bowman is likely still battling for
a job. Nothing wrong with keeping him for a fourth-line role, but its possible
there are better alternatives too. It would be great for Carolina to dip into
the free agent market and bring in another proven scoring forward, but if the
Hurricanes are operating on a budget, the more likely scenario could be to find
some value plays, not unlike last years addition of Gerbe or Manny Malhotra.
Peter Regin, Pierre-Marc Bouchard, Steve Bernier and Ryan Carter are a few
veterans that might come relatively cheaply, but could still upgrade the
Hurricanes forward depth. Returning Defence Player Rating GP G A PTS CF% Cap
Hit Andrej Sekera 73.85 74 11 33 44 51.5% $2.75M Justin Faulk 68.67 7 5 27 32
51.8% $4.833M John-Michael Liles 62.94 41 2 7 9 49.5% $3.875M Jay Harrison 61.47
68 4 11 15 47.9% $1.5M Ryan Murphy 61.31 48 2 10 12 48.8% $863K Free Agent
Defence Player Rating GP G A PTS CF% Class 13-14 Cap Hit Ron Hainsey 62.09 82 4
11 15 51.0% UFA $2.0M Brett Bellemore 60.41 64 2 6 8 48.4% UFA $600K
Mike Komisarek 58.09 32 0 4 4 48.5% UFA $700K Joni Pitkanen N/A UFA
$4.5M Moving to Carolina brought about a dramatic change for Andrej Sekera, who
had been a steady enough to-four defenceman in Buffalo, but he emerged as a
top-pair stud for the Hurricanes, setting career-bests in goals (11), assists
(33) and time on ice (23:41), all while facing high quality of competition. Next
season is the final year on his current contract, so Sekera is due for an
extension which will come with a healthy pay raise. 22-year-old Justin Faulk is
the building block on the Carolina defence, playing 23:19 per game through his
first three seasons and facing the toughest assignments. A great skater, who
makes smart decisions and signed through 2020, Faulk is a stable presence
already and should continue to get better. Unable to crack the lineup of the
Toronto Maple Leafs, John-Michael Liles played over 20 minutes per game in
Carolina and even provided strong puck possession numbers in the process. Hes
three seasons removed from his last 40-point season, but Liles mobility and
smarts still work to his advantage, on a team that is willing to make use of
those assets. Jay Harrison offers size, but his ice time was down last year
after struggling more than he had in previous years. Hes reasonably priced as a
third-pair option, in the hopes that maybe he finds a better fit with another
partner. One of Harrisons regular partners last season, Ryan Murphy is an
undersized 21-year-old who is still trying to make his way in the league. Murphy
is a terrific skater, and that has helped him put up 24 points in 25 AHL games,
in addition to a dozen points in 52 career NHL games, so there is offensive
upside to be realized. Even if Murphy is given easier minutes, with power play
time, he should be able to find a regular spot on a Carolina blueline that needs
to be better. The Hurricanes are looking at some significant changes on defence,
thanks to four unrestricted free agents. Ron Hainsey was certainly good enough
to keep and if Joni Pitkanen is healthy, that could be interesting but,
otherwise, the Canes may look elsewhere for improvement. Returning Goaltenders
Player Rating GP W L OTL GAA SV% Cap Hit Anton Khudobin 77.25 36 19 14 1 2.30
.926 $2.25M Cam Ward 63.71 30 10 12 6 3.06 .898 $6.3M Free Agent Goaltender
Player Rating GP W L OTL GAA SV% Class 13-14 Cap Hit Justin Peters 69.64 21 7 9
4 2.50 .919 UFA $538K Anton Khudobin had a terrific year, posting a .926 save
percentage in a career-high 36 games, earning a two-year contract extension and,
if the Hurricanes can find a taker for incumbent starter Cam Ward, the starting
job would appear to be Khuodbins going forward. Khudobin has a .928 save
percentage in 57 career games, which is great, the best among goalies with at
least 50 games, but thats such a small sample, and he had a .912 save percentage
in 156 AHL games, so theres most likely downward mobility in those numbers. Ward
won the Conn Smythe Award as playoff MVP in 2006 and was an above average
goaltender from 2008 through 212, but injuries have limited him to 47 games over
the past two seasons and, even when hes played, he hasnt been effective, posting
a .902 save percentage, which is near the bottom among goaltenders over the past
couple seasons. Theoretically, the Hurricanes may be prepared to move Ward, but
finding a taker for the remaining two years (and $13.5-million) on his contract
could be challenging, at best. Top Prospects Player Pos. Team/League Stats
Brock McGinn LW Guelph (OHL) 43-42-85, +46, 58 GP Michal Jordan D Charlotte
(AHL) 4-21-25, -12, 70 GP Victor Rask C Charlotte (AHL) 16-23-39, -3, 76 GP
Trevor Carrick D Sudbury (OHL) 22-29-51, -6, 70 GP Sergey Tolchinsky LW Sault
Ste. Marie (OHL) 31-60-91, -9, 66 GP Phil Di Giuseppe LW Michigan (Big 10)
13-11-24, +7, 35 GP Brett Pesce D New Hampshire (HE) 7-14-21, -4, 41 GP
Daniel Altshuller G Oshawa (OHL) 2.56 GAA, .917 SV%, 52 GP Jaccob Slavin D
Colorado College (NCHC) 5-20-25, +2, 32 GP Keegan Lowe D Charlotte (AHL)
2-10-12, -7, 63 GP Zach Boychuk LW Charlotte (AHL) 36-38-74, -7, 69 GP
Brock McGinn, the third of Fergus, Ontarios McGinn brothers (Jamie and Tye are
with Colorado and Philadelphia, respectively) to be drafted to the NHL,has
enjoyed a great season with a powerhouse Guelph team. Hell play a physical game
and, as hes shown this year, should be able to contribute some offensively too.
After four AHL seasons, Michal Jordan could be ready for a real NHL opportunity
with Carolina. Hes been their best AHL defenceman and, with free agents
potentially departing, Jordan could slide into a depth spot next season. A
second-round pick in 2011 Victor Rask had a solid first pro campaign. He could
use more time to refine his game, and establish that he can score consistently
at the AHL level, before pushing for an NHL spot. 2012 fourth-round pick
Trevor Carrick has steadily improved throughhout his junior career and is ready
to embark on a pro career next season, but likely will require a few years of
development. Undrafted last summer, after scoring 51 points in 62 games in his
draft year, Sergey Tolchinsky quickly earned a free agent contract with the
Hurricanes, then continued to improve his game in the OHL. Hes small, but
skilled. Drafted in the second round in 2012, Phil Di Giuseppe didnt make a ton
of progress at Michigan, scoring 26 points in 40 games as a freshman, then 52
points in 75 games over the past two seasons. Hes signed with the Hurricanes and
played in three games with Charlotte late in the year, so Di Giuseppe will have
a chance to show whether or not hes going to have a notable offensive game in
the pros. Taken in the third round last summer, Brett Pesce is a lanky
collegiate defender who improved his production as a sophomore. He still has a
couple more seasons of collegiate eligibility and can use them to get stronger
as he prepares for his pro career. A third-round pick in 2012, Daniel Altshuller
has steadily improved throughout his junior career and, at 6-foot-4, has good
size for the position. Give him a few years in the AHL and see what happens. An
offensively-minded blueliner, Jaccob Slavin played for Team USA at the World
Junior Hockey Championships and led Colorado College in scoring as a freshman. A
tough, physical stay-at-home defenceman, Keegan Lowe was a third-round pick in
2011 and had a decent first pro campaign. Lowes game wont stand out, but for a
team without great defence prospects, hes in the picture. Zach Boychuk has been
a top Hurricanes prospect forever, since he was a first-round pick in 2008, and
hes managed nine goals and 24 points in 96 NHL career games, but after 74 points
in 69 AHL games last season, the undersized winger cant be ignored altogether.
Hurricanes advanced stats and player usage chart from Extra Skater DRAFT7th
- Kasperi Kapanen, William Nylander, Nikolaj Ehlers FREE AGENCYAccording to
www.capgeek.com, the Hurricanes have approximately $37.9M committed to the
2013-2014 salary cap for 16 players. Check out my possible Hurricanes lineup for
next season on Cap Geek here. Needs: Three forwards, one top four defenceman,
depth defencemen.What I said the Hurricanes needed last year: Two top nine
forwards, depth forwards, depth defencemen.They added: Nathan Gerbe,
Elias Lindholm, Andrej Sekera, Ron Hainsey, Ryan Murphy, Mike Komisarek,
Brett Bellemore, Anton Khudobin. TRADE MARKETEric Staal, Alexander Semin,
Jiri Tlusty. Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@bellmedia.ca and
followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen. For more, check out
TSN Fantasy on Facebook.
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. Five-time cup winner Sevilla became the nights only topflight team to be upset
by a lower-division team when third-tier Racing Santander won 2-0 in Seville to
overturn a 1-0 first-leg loss.
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. Jurrjens signed a minor league contract with Cincinnati in May, and was 2-3
with a 4.46 ERA at Triple-A Louisville. He has a 53-37 record with a 3.63 ERA in
seven major league seasons, including five with Atlanta.FORT MYERS, Fla. --
Boston Red Sox right-hander Ryan Dempster plans to take this season off, a
decision that surprised teammates and will cost the 16-year veteran $13.25
million in salary. Dempster said Sunday he is stepping away for physical reasons
and to spend more time with his family. But he left a slight opening to play in
2015. "I had an incredible run, a chance to play 16 years in the major leagues
and be around a lot of great teammates, made a lot of good friendships, great
friendships," Dempster said one day before the first formal spring training
workout for pitchers and catchers. "Im totally comfortable with it. Im at peace
with my decision." Dempster, whose contract expires after this season, finished
his only year with the Red Sox with an 8-9 record and a 4.57 ERA and didnt get a
start during their post-season run to a World Series title. "The past few years
have been tougher and tougher," he said. "As you get older, going through some
things, some issues I have with my neck that have made it harder and harder to
throw a baseball and throw it like Im accustomed to throw it" contributed to his
decision. And, he said, "Ive got three amazing children that I want to watch
grow up and be around." The Red Sox still have a solid veteran rotation with
Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz, John Lackey, Jake Peavy and Felix Doubront, and
several promising young starters. If theyre seeking a veteran to add depth, they
could consider right-handed free agents Ervin Santana and Ubaldo Jimenez. "I
like the staff that we have," manager John Farrell said. Several teammates
watched as Dempster made his announcement, including Lester, Buchholz, Lackey,
Peavy, first baseman Mike Napoli, second baseman Dustin Pedroia, catcher
David Ross and reliever Andrew Miller. "Everybody wants to soak in their last
moments of being around him," Miller said. "Hes a great guy. He left quite his
mark and will be remembered fondly around here." The decision, Miller said, "was
a shock to everybody." Dempster said he spoke with the club a few weeks ago
about taking the season off. And what about 2015? "I dont know yet," he said.
"If something changes then, obviously, something changes, but I dont see that
changing." Dempster pitched with the Florida Marlins, Cincinnati Reds, Chicago
Cubs, Texas Rangers and Red Sox. He is 132--133 with a 4.
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35 ERA and made the All-Star team in 2008 when he went 17-6 with a 2.96 ERA with
the Cubs. He was Chicagos closer from 2005-07, totalling 85 saves. He began the
2012 season with the Cubs then went to the Rangers at the trade deadline. Boston
signed Dempster to a $26.5 million, two-year deal before last season. He will
lose half that amount by sitting out this year. "The money was not that much of
a difficult decision," he said, but "Im a little sad that I wont be around" his
teammates as they try to defend their championship. "There arent too many people
who could say that the time is right to walk away from a game that I love, thats
treated me so well," Red Sox reliever Craig Breslow said, "and particularly when
theres a pretty sizeable amount of money thats being left on the table." General
manager Ben Cherington said Dempster told him of the decision about 10 days ago.
"It came out of left field," Cherington said. Players didnt find out until
Sunday. "At first I didnt really know what to say. It caught me off guard,"
Napoli said. "Thats how everyone wants to go out, on their own terms." Dempster
was praised for his upbeat personality that helped the Red Sox recover from a
collapse at the end of the 2012 season and transform the clubhouse into a
positive place. Farrell also admired the way he accepted his demotion from the
rotation for the post-season. "A consummate team player," Farrell said. While
Dempster struggled at times on the field last year, he kept the clubhouse loose.
"His comedic value will be sorely missed," Miller said. Dempster pitched just
one inning in the World Series, a scoreless ninth in Bostons 8-1 win over St.
Louis in Game 1. He ended it by striking out Matt Adams. "If this is the end,
then this is the end, and what a great way to go out," Dempster said. Notes: The
Red Sox signed right-hander Francisco Cordero to a minor-league contract with an
invitation to the major-league camp. A closer for most of his career, he didnt
pitch last year after struggling in 2012. In 14 seasons with six teams, he is
47-53 with a 3.38 ERA and 329 saves. ... Miller and the Red Sox agreed to a
one-year contract worth $1,903,125, avoiding arbitration. Miller had asked for
$2.15 million and had been offered $1.55 million. He made $1,475,000 last year.
Boston has no remaining players in arbitration.
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